Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.409485 0.452340 0.498346 0.551503 0.611346 0.676765 0.753871
2025-06-15 0.342281 0.401992 0.470807 0.556391 0.660541 0.783885 0.942073
2025-06-22 0.297681 0.363815 0.443660 0.547957 0.681763 0.849237 1.077192
2025-06-29 0.266601 0.336332 0.423718 0.542501 0.701654 0.910240 1.208811
2025-07-06 0.235665 0.305008 0.394571 0.520350 0.695036 0.932970 1.288384
2025-07-13 0.220815 0.292781 0.388435 0.527028 0.726306 1.008133 1.447219
2025-07-20 0.207996 0.281836 0.382549 0.532674 0.755510 1.081813 1.610631
2025-07-27 0.196881 0.272114 0.377188 0.537974 0.783807 1.155743 1.781489
2025-08-03 0.186335 0.262235 0.370563 0.540380 0.807261 1.223580 1.949206
2025-08-10 0.177739 0.254442 0.366187 0.545442 0.834690 1.299448 2.137972
2025-08-17 0.165698 0.240652 0.351768 0.533551 0.833599 1.328207 2.247885
2025-08-24 0.159357 0.234993 0.349207 0.540007 0.862675 1.409446 2.459982
2025-08-31 0.150771 0.225472 0.340211 0.535647 0.873733 1.461693 2.627043
2025-09-07 0.144739 0.219565 0.336509 0.539713 0.899561 1.542478 2.858983
2025-09-14 0.136715 0.209959 0.326163 0.531608 0.902936 1.582285 3.014171
2025-09-21 0.129935 0.201946 0.317877 0.526338 0.910769 1.630783 3.192738
2025-09-28 0.120648 0.189304 0.301127 0.504948 0.886946 1.616104 3.235443
2025-10-05 0.117156 0.186078 0.300031 0.511397 0.915929 1.707434 3.520248
2025-10-12 0.113721 0.182737 0.298493 0.516849 0.943313 1.798054 3.815781
2025-10-19 0.110451 0.179482 0.296877 0.521967 0.970347 1.890463 4.128377
2025-10-26 0.106940 0.175613 0.293925 0.524290 0.991852 1.973161 4.429428
2025-11-02 0.104037 0.172645 0.292391 0.529178 1.018935 2.070555 4.781238
2025-11-09 0.098906 0.165469 0.282825 0.517696 1.010723 2.088550 4.932180